NFL
SEA Seahawks vs NE Patriots
Lumen Field, Seattle
Source: Bet365 · Board captured Aug 10, 01:02 UTC · Odds subject to change - check current prices before betting
“A special Wednesday-night game priced like a routine Seattle evening: minus 3.5 at even money and a 63.9% fair moneyline are two phrasings of the same opinion, with the total parked dead level at 44.5. This is the opening market, a month out - the board will fill in as kickoff approaches, and this page will remember exactly where it opened and where it closed.” — Sports-King
Spread 5.26% hold
| Selection | Price | Returns |
|---|---|---|
| SEA Seahawks -3.5 | ||
| NE Patriots +3.5 |
Total 5.26% hold
| Selection | Price | Returns |
|---|---|---|
| Over 44.5 | ||
| Under 44.5 |
Money line 4.40% hold
| Team | Price | Fair chance | Returns |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA Seahawks | 63.9% | ||
| NE Patriots | 36.1% |
What the lines agree on. Spread and total are two equations with two unknowns: solve them and the board expects roughly SEA Seahawks 24.0 - NE Patriots 20.5. The spread makes SEA Seahawks a +3.5-point favorite and the money line makes them a 63.9% winner - two phrasings of the same opinion, and the fair-value columns show what that opinion costs in each market.
Touchdown scorers 52.62% hold
First scorer is a true book - one winner, so the margin above is real and the fair chances are normalized inside it. Anytime is not a book: many players can all score, so anytime prices get an implied chance each and no margin figure - printing one would be fake math.
| Player | First | Fair (first) | Anytime | Implied (any) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 10.9% | 52.6% | ||
| Jadarian Price | 9.4% | 47.6% | ||
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 9.0% | 44.4% | ||
| A.J. Brown | 8.2% | 41.7% | ||
| TreVeyon Henderson | 6.9% | 37.7% | ||
| Emanuel Wilson | 6.2% | 35.7% | ||
| Hunter Henry | 5.0% | 30.3% | ||
| Rashid Shaheed | 4.9% | 30.3% | ||
| AJ Barner | 4.7% | 29.0% | ||
| Romeo Doubs | 4.4% | 27.0% | ||
| Cooper Kupp | 4.4% | 27.8% | ||
| Drake Maye | 4.0% | 24.4% | ||
| George Holani | 3.7% | 23.8% | ||
| Kayshon Boutte | 3.1% | 20.0% | ||
| Sam Darnold | 2.8% | 18.2% | ||
| Elijah Arroyo | 2.5% | 16.7% | ||
| Jake Bobo | 2.5% | 16.7% | ||
| Mack Hollins | 2.1% | 14.3% | ||
| Demario Douglas | 1.9% | 13.3% | ||
| Kyle Williams | 1.8% | 11.1% | ||
| Tejhaun Palmer | 0.8% | 4.8% | ||
| No Touchdown Scorer | 0.6% |
Passing yards
Prices are for reaching each threshold or more - a cumulative ladder, not an over/under pair.
| Player | 200+ | 225+ | 250+ | 275+ | 300+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | |||||
| Drake Maye |
Passing touchdowns
Prices are for reaching each threshold or more - a cumulative ladder, not an over/under pair.
| Player | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | ||||
| Drake Maye |
Receiving yards
Prices are for reaching each threshold or more - a cumulative ladder, not an over/under pair.
| Player | 50+ | 60+ | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | |||||
| A.J. Brown | |||||
| Cooper Kupp | |||||
| Romeo Doubs | |||||
| Hunter Henry | |||||
| AJ Barner |
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